The world's wheat-producing regions face mounting pressure from the Iran war, climate disasters, and trade disputes, pushing the global food system toward dangerous territory. Rising fertilizer costs and transport disruptions threaten agricultural output at a time when food prices are already dangerously high.
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Newsletter The WorldThe Price of Bread
War, climate shocks and trade disputes are pounding the world’s breadbaskets and pushing the global food system into dangerous territory.
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By
Alicia P.Q. Wittmeyer
I’m the editor of The World.
Published Aug. 23, 2026
Updated Aug. 24, 2026, 1:53 a.m. ET
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Katrin is away this week; I’ll be your host. We’re going to start the week by looking at the trouble in the world’s breadbaskets.
One of the most ominous facets of the war in Iran has been the effect on fertilizer prices. Thanks to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, they shot up at exactly the wrong time — during the spring planting season in the Northern Hemisphere. The consequences are still playing out, but they will come at a time when the world is already facing high food prices.
Today, my colleague Somini Sengupta writes about that all-important staple: wheat.
Image
!Aerial view of a golden-brown field. Two farm machines, a combine and tractor, move through rows, kicking up dust.
*A combine harvester in Seeluebbe, Germany, this month.
Credit...
Lisi Niesner/Reuters*
Drone strikes and devilish weather
By Somini Sengupta
Instant noodles. Hot chapatis. Sliced bread. Wheat is at the heart of the modern diet. But this year, the breadbaskets of the world are in trouble.
Heat and drought have diminished harvests in some of the biggest wheat-producing countries. What little wheat is being harvested is now more expensive to transport, thanks to war and weather.
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