Energy market analysts expect elevated oil prices to persist until flows through the Strait of Hormuz normalize, with damaged infrastructure and soaring shipping costs compounding medium to long-term pressures on global energy markets.
Jim Burkhard, Vice President and Head of Research for Oil Markets, Energy and Mobility at S&P Global, says elevated oil prices are here to stay. "It's the new normal until flows are normalised out of the Strait of Hormuz. There's no replacing the Middle East as a source of supply."
He says damaged infrastructure and high shipping costs are also part of the medium to long-term challenge. "You also have a refining issue, which is not confined to the Middle East (...) you've gone from $60,000 as the daily rate for one of these [oil] tankers to over a million. So the transportation costs have gone up – it's really stunning."