The Rationale for Raising Rates Is Crystal Clear - Bloomberg.com
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Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh faces a difficult political calculation as he considers raising interest rates ahead of midterm elections amid an energy crisis stemming from tensions with Iran. The economic case for tightening monetary policy is clear, but the political timing could hardly be worse for the Trump administration.
Federal Reserve Has Rarely Had a Stronger Case for Raising Rates - Bloomberg
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Bill Dudley
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The Rationale for Raising Rates Is Crystal Clear
September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM CDT
By Bill Dudley
Bill Dudley is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. A former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, he is a member of Coinbase Global's advisory council.
*The honeymoon may be ending.
Photographer: Yuri Gripas/Bloomberg via Getty Images*
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When the history of monetary policy is written for 2026, the most fitting adage for Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh might be the famous Charles Dickens line that begins *A of Two Cities* and how it was both the best of times and the worst of times.
It might be considered the worst of times because tightening monetary policy won’t be popular with President Donald Trump or the Republican party that already faces an uphill battle to hold on to its narrow majorities in the House and Senate come November. The Democrats have their own tale to exploit: A misguided and poorly executed war with Iran has led to a big spike in energy prices, exacerbating the affordability crisis along with higher mortgage rates. If Trump was unhappy with former Fed Chair Jerome Powell even after he implemented three rate cuts in 2025, how is the president going feel about his chosen successor, Kevin Warsh, raising rates ahead of the midterm elections after less than four months in the job?